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Home World UEFA Nations League Georgia — Ukraine

Predictions by Market: Georgia vs Ukraine

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Georgia
Georgia
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Mon 28 Sep · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Ukraine
Ukraine
W L W L L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GEO
35%
Best 2.88
Draw
27%
Best 3.35
Away Win · UKR
38%
Best 2.52
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.83
book 2.88 · +1.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 35% · EV +1.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (38%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.6%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 48.5%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
GEO – UKR @ 2.88
+1.7%
Edge
Forecast →