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Home › Italy › Serie A › Fiorentina — Hellas Verona

Predictions by Market: Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
D D L D L Away · last 5
Referee Andrea Colombo, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FIO
52%
Best 2.00
Draw
25%
Best 3.20
Away Win · VER
23%
Best 4.20
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.76
Fair odds
4.39
book 4.76 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 23% · EV +8.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (52%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.76
Show model details
Implied probability 21%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FIO – VER @ 4.76
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →