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Home World UEFA Nations League Norway — Portugal

Predictions by Market: Norway vs Portugal

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Norway
Norway
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 27 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Portugal
Portugal
D W D W L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NOR
36%
Best 2.87
Draw
25%
Best 3.75
Away Win · POR
39%
Best 2.40
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.87
Fair odds
2.81
book 2.87 · +2.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 36% · EV +2.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (39%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
NOR – POR @ 2.87
+2.3%
Edge
Forecast →