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Home World UEFA Nations League Denmark — Wales

Predictions by Market: Denmark vs Wales

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Denmark
Denmark
Home · last 5 D L W D W
Kick-off
Sun 27 Sep · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Wales
Wales
L W W D L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · DEN
49%
Best 1.84
Draw
26%
Best 3.65
Away Win · WAL
25%
Best 4.60
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.03
Fair odds
1.98
book 2.03 · +2.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 51% · EV +2.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (75%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.4%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
Under 2.5 Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 48%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 50.6%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
DEN – WAL @ 2.03
+2.8%
Edge
Forecast →