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Home World UEFA Nations League Serbia — Netherlands

Predictions by Market: Serbia vs Netherlands

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Serbia
Serbia
Home · last 5 L W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 27 Sep · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Netherlands
Netherlands
W D W W D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SER
26%
Best 4.75
Draw
24%
Best 3.94
Away Win · NED
50%
Best 1.78
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.11
Fair odds
1.99
book 2.11 · +6.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 50% · EV +6.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (74%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 26%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.94
Show model details
Implied probability 25.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.2%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
SER – NED @ 2.11
+6.0%
Edge
Forecast →