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Home World UEFA Nations League Slovakia — Moldova

Predictions by Market: Slovakia vs Moldova

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Slovakia
Slovakia
Home · last 5 L W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 26 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Moldova
Moldova
L D L L D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SLO
65%
Best 1.31
Draw
19%
Best 5.40
Away Win · MOL
16%
Best 11.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.40
Fair odds
5.24
book 5.40 · +3.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +3.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (65%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 16%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 19.1%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 35.1%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 84%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
SLO – MOL @ 5.40
+3.0%
Edge
Forecast →