Model verdict
Model leans toward Iceland to win — 61% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Iceland enters this UEFA Nations League clash with a clear home advantage, reflected in the odds favoring their win. Despite limited recent form data, Iceland's familiarity with home conditions and a likely compact defensive setup could frustrate Estonia's attack. The market leans towards a low-scoring game, suggesting both sides may struggle to break through.
- Home momentum and environment favor Iceland
- Defensive solidity expected from both teams
- Modest attacking threat hints at cautious play
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 61% | Iceland win |
| BTTS | 56% | No |
| Double Chance | 82% | 1X |
- 1X2 Iceland win 61%
- BTTS No 56%
- Double Chance 1X 82%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Iceland
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
4 / 11
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Estonia
W/D/L
0-1-4
Goals (for / against)
3 / 14
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.32 / 3.76
Scenario insights
①
Iceland wins when scoring first
—
①
Estonia wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Iceland BTTS rate · last 9
44%
⚽
Estonia BTTS rate · last 8
75%
↑
Iceland Over 2.5 · last 9
78%
↑
Estonia Over 2.5 · last 8
75%
↩
Iceland comeback rate · last 9
0%
↩
Estonia comeback rate · last 8
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