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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Cagliari

Predictions by Market: Atalanta vs Cagliari

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Davide Di Marco, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
74%
Best 1.34
Draw
18%
Best 5.20
Away Win · CAG
7%
Best 9.00
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 15.50
Fair odds
13.77
book 15.50 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 7% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (93%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.4%
Odds 5.48
Show model details
Implied probability 18.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.7%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.4%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
ATA – CAG @ 15.50
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →