Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 63% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 58%, France to win 57%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited recent form data, this UEFA Nations League clash between Türkiye and France leans towards a competitive encounter. France holds a slight edge given their historical strength and away momentum, while Türkiye's home atmosphere could spur a resilient defensive display. Expect a balanced pace with both sides probing cautiously early on.
- France's tactical discipline may challenge Türkiye's attacking transitions.
- Türkiye's compact block could limit France's offensive fluency.
- Moderate goal expectations align with cautious approaches from both teams.
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 57% | France win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 63% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 58% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 78% | X2 |
- 1X2 France win 57%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63%
- BTTS Yes 58%
- Double Chance X2 78%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Türkiye
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
6 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.72 / 0.55
France
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
10 / 8
Avg goals / match
3.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.15 / 1.03
Scenario insights
①
Türkiye wins when scoring first
—
①
France wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Türkiye BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
France BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Türkiye Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
France Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Türkiye comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
France comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Türkiye · last 2 at home
0–15
33%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
33%
France · last 2 away
0–15
20%
16–30
20%
31–45
20%
46–60
0%
61–75
20%
76–90
20%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.