Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 57% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Italy and Belgium face off in a UEFA Nations League clash where limited recent form data suggests a cautious approach. The odds hint at a moderately open game with a slight edge to both sides scoring, reflecting balanced attacking and defensive capabilities. Expect a tactical battle with both teams likely to probe carefully, aiming to exploit set-piece opportunities and maintain compact defensive structures.
- Balanced offensive and defensive matchups
- Potential for goals from set pieces
- Moderate pace suggested by odds
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 43% | Italy win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 53% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 57% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 69% | 1X |
- 1X2 Italy win 43%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53%
- BTTS Yes 57%
- Double Chance 1X 69%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Italy
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
7 / 5
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Belgium
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
13 / 6
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.94 / 1.43
Scenario insights
①
Italy wins when scoring first
—
①
Belgium wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Italy BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Belgium BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Italy Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Belgium Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Italy comeback rate · last 10
—
↩
Belgium comeback rate · last 10
33%
Goal timing
Belgium · last 3 away
0–15
10%
16–30
10%
31–45
20%
46–60
20%
61–75
10%
76–90
30%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.