Model verdict
Model leans toward Poland to win — 53% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited recent form and performance data, this UEFA Nations League clash leans on historical tendencies and market signals. Poland holds a slight home edge, suggesting a compact defensive setup and controlled tempo. The odds imply a balanced goal environment, hinting at a tactical battle rather than an open game.
- Poland’s home solidity may restrict Bosnia’s attacking ambitions.
- Both sides likely to prioritize defensive organization.
- Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over quick transitions.
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 53% | Poland win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 51% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | No |
| Double Chance | 77% | 1X |
- 1X2 Poland win 53%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51%
- BTTS No 51%
- Double Chance 1X 77%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Poland
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
10 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
6 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
xG (for / against)
0.53 / 1.24
Scenario insights
①
Poland wins when scoring first
—
①
Bosnia & Herzegovina wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Poland BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Bosnia & Herzegovina BTTS rate · last 10
90%
↑
Poland Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Bosnia & Herzegovina Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Poland comeback rate · last 10
50%
↩
Bosnia & Herzegovina comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Bosnia & Herzegovina · last 3 away
0–15
0%
16–30
50%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
50%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.