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Home World UEFA Nations League Netherlands — Germany

Prediction: Netherlands vs Germany, September 24

Netherlands
Netherlands
Home · last 5 W D W W D
Kick-off
Thu 24 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Germany
Germany
W W W L D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NED
40%
Best 2.41
Draw
25%
Best 3.80
Away Win · GER
35%
Best 2.80

Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 64% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 60%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Netherlands and Germany face off in a UEFA Nations League clash with limited recent form data, making this a tactical chess match. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight edge to the home side, hinting at a competitive battle. Expect both teams to test each other's defensive setups, with chances likely on set pieces and transitions.

  • Home advantage may provide Netherlands a pressing edge.
  • Germany's compact block could challenge Dutch creativity.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic attacks.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 40% Netherlands win
Over/Under 2.5 60% Over 2.5
BTTS 64% Yes
Double Chance 65% 1X
  • 1X2 Netherlands win 40%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
  • BTTS Yes 64%
  • Double Chance 1X 65%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Netherlands
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 13 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.16 / 0.97
Germany
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 13 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.41 / 0.68

Scenario insights

Netherlands wins when scoring first
50%
Germany wins when scoring first
50%
Netherlands BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Germany BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Netherlands Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Germany Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Netherlands comeback rate · last 10
Germany comeback rate · last 10
50%

Goal timing

Netherlands · last 3 at home

0–15 12%
16–30 12%
31–45 0%
46–60 38%
61–75 25%
76–90 12%

Germany · last 1 away

0–15 100%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.