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Home World UEFA Nations League Norway — Denmark

Predictions by Market: Norway vs Denmark

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Norway
Norway
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Thu 24 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Denmark
Denmark
D L W D W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NOR
51%
Best 1.80
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · DEN
25%
Best 4.33
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.50
Fair odds
3.94
book 4.50 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 25% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (51%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 25.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
NOR – DEN @ 4.50
+14.2%
Edge
Forecast →