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Home World UEFA Nations League Austria — Israel

Predictions by Market: Austria vs Israel

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Austria
Austria
Home · last 5 D W L D L
Kick-off
Thu 24 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Israel
Israel
W L L L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AUT
61%
Best 1.40
Draw
20%
Best 5.00
Away Win · ISR
19%
Best 8.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.00
Fair odds
4.93
book 5.00 · +1.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 20% · EV +1.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (61%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 18.5%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 20.3%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 38.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
AUT – ISR @ 5.00
+1.4%
Edge
Forecast →