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Home World UEFA Nations League Serbia — Greece

Predictions by Market: Serbia vs Greece

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Serbia
Serbia
Home · last 5 L W L W L
Kick-off
Thu 24 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Greece
Greece
L L W D L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SER
38%
Best 2.70
Draw
28%
Best 3.34
Away Win · GRE
35%
Best 2.76
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.65
Fair odds
2.64
book 2.65 · +0.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 38% · EV +0.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 75%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
SER – GRE @ 2.65
+0.5%
Edge
Forecast →