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Home Italy Serie A Udinese — Napoli

Match Udinese vs Napoli December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A
Udinese
Udinese
Home · last 5 D W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Bluenergy Stadium · Udine Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 59% · book 1.95
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.45
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 2.20
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.15 – 0.92
Δ +0.23
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli arrives with a clear quality edge and recent strong form, suggesting they can control the game despite Udinese's home momentum. Napoli's potent attack faces a resilient Udinese defense, but the visitors' pressing and tactical discipline could unlock chances. The home side's inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities may be exposed, especially given Napoli's superior offensive firepower.

  • Napoli's attacking threat vs Udinese's defense
  • Home side's patchy recent results
  • Likely moderate tempo with goal-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

UDI 3-5-2 · NAP 3-4-3
Subs used · UDI
83' Zarraga ↑ · Ekkelenkamp
83' Buksa ↑ · Davis
84' Ehizibue ↑ · Bertola
90+4' Goglichidze ↑ · Zanoli
90+1' Bravo ↑ · Zaniolo
Subs used · NAP
61' Lobotka ↑ · Lang
61' Politano ↑ · Beukema
75' Olivera ↑ · Buongiorno
83' Gutierrez ↑ · Spinazzola
83' Lucca ↑ · Elmas

📊 Statistics

UDI 10 NAP
38%
Possession (%)
62%
1.15
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.92
18
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
0
6
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
5
1
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
9
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Nicolò Zaniolo
Yellow Card
33'
Half-time · 0 – 0
61'
S. Lobotka ↓ · N. Lang ↑
Substitution 1
61'
M. Politano ↓ · S. Beukema ↑
Substitution 2
J. Ekkelenkamp
Assist · K. Davis · 1–0
73'
75'
M. Olivera ↓ · A. Buongiorno ↑
Substitution 3
O. Zarraga ↓ · J. Ekkelenkamp ↑
Substitution 1
83'
A. Buksa ↓ · K. Davis ↑
Substitution 2
83'
83'
M. Gutierrez ↓ · L. Spinazzola ↑
Substitution 4
83'
L. Lucca ↓ · E. Elmas ↑
Substitution 5
K. Ehizibue ↓ · N. Bertola ↑
Substitution 3
84'
I. Bravo ↓ · N. Zaniolo ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
S. Goglichidze ↓ · A. Zanoli ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Udinese beat Napoli 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: J. Ekkelenkamp (73').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.69 units (Brier 0.302).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.95 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.45 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.20 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.68 56% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
BTTS No 1.75 54% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.01 41% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.23 84% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.47 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.90 31% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.36 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 77% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.55 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.65 16% Cashed +3.65 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.38 16% Cashed +2.38 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.69u +10% ROI