Match Pisa vs Parma December 8, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.81 — +10.5% better than the market.

Pisa holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid defensive setup, which could stifle Parma's attack despite their slightly better recent form. The home side's compact block and home momentum suggest a controlled pace, favoring a low-scoring affair. Parma's offensive efforts may struggle against Pisa's disciplined backline, hinting at a tight contest with limited goals.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Recent form favors away but quality gap leans home
Likely cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 55% +0.81u

+81%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PIS 3-5-2 · PAR 4-3-3

PIS · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · PAR

18 Nzola

Subs used · PIS

46'

Leris ↑ ·

Angori ↓

46'

Akinsanmiro ↑ ·

Marin ↓

76'

Moreo ↑ ·

Calabresi ↓

76'

Lorran ↑ ·

Piccinini ↓

84'

Tramoni ↑ ·

Meister ↓

Subs used · PAR

59'

Sorensen ↑ ·

Ondrejka ↓

75'

Ordonez ↑ ·

Bernabe ↓

75'

Oristanio ↑ ·

Benedyczak ↓

90+2'

Lovik ↑

📊 Statistics

PIS 0 – 1 PAR

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.39

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 1

40'

⚽

A. Benedyczak (P)

Penalty · 0–1

41'

▮

Adrian Benedyczak

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

M. Leris ↓ · S. Angori ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

E. Akinsanmiro ↓ · M. Marin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

49'

▮

Emanuele Valeri

Yellow Card

59'

⇄

O. Sorensen ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑

Substitution 1

Michel Aebischer

Yellow Card

▮

68'

75'

⇄

C. Ordonez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

G. Oristanio ↓ · A. Benedyczak ↑

Substitution 3

S. Moreo ↓ · A. Calabresi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

Lorran ↓ · G. Piccinini ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

Idrissa Touré

Yellow Card

▮

82'

M. Tramoni ↓ · H. Meister ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

90+2'

⇄

M. Lovik ↓ ·

Substitution 4

M'Bala Nzola

Red Card

▮

90+3'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Parma won 1–0 away at Pisa. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Benedyczak (40'). M'Bala Nzola was sent off in the 90+3' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.19 units (Brier 0.226).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.81	—	61%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.60	—	69%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Home Win	2.52	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.78	—	42%	Cashed	+1.78	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.72	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.55	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.05	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.30	—	22%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.10	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.50	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.59	—	52%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.21	—	86%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	—	85%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Away Win	3.40	—	22%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.10	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.19u	−7% ROI