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Home › World › Friendlies › South Korea — Ecuador

Predictions by Market: South Korea vs Ecuador

World   /   Friendlies Value pick inside
South Korea
South Korea
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Thu 24 Sep · 11:00
3:0
Full-time
Ecuador
Ecuador
W L Away · last 5
Suwon World Cup Stadium · Suwon

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · KOR
39%
Best 2.43
Draw
28%
Best 3.34
Away Win · ECU
33%
Best 3.24
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.10
Fair odds
3.05
book 3.10 · +1.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 33% · EV +1.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (39%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
KOR – ECU @ 3.10
+1.7%
Edge
Forecast →