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Home World UEFA Europa League Juventus — NEC Nijmegen

Preview Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen September 17, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
L W L D L Away · last 5
Referee O. Derevinskyi
Home Win · JUV
67%
Best 1.22
Draw
18%
Best 7.50
Away Win · NIJ
15%
Best 14.00

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Juventus to win — 67% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 64%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Juventus enter this Europa League clash with a clear home advantage, expected to control the tempo and press high. Despite limited recent form data, their superior quality and home momentum suggest they will dominate possession and create chances. NEC Nijmegen may adopt a compact block, aiming to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, but Juventus' attacking edge and set-piece threat could prove decisive.

  • Home side's pressing edge likely to unsettle visitors
  • NEC's defensive resilience tested by Juventus' creativity
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured build-up

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 67% Juventus win
Over/Under 2.5 64% Over 2.5
BTTS 50% Yes
Double Chance 85% 1X
  • 1X2 Juventus win 67%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64%
  • BTTS Yes 50%
  • Double Chance 1X 85%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Juventus
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.67 / 0.60
NEC Nijmegen
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 6 / 12
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 2.01 / 1.98

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.50
Goals Scored
1.83
1
Goals Conceded
2
1.17
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
6
Shots on Target
4
9.50
Corners
5
56.25
Possession (%)
63.50
97.48
Efficiency index
98.62
108.94
Adjusted index
109.85
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🎯 Scenario insights

Juventus wins when scoring first
80%
NEC Nijmegen wins when scoring first
Juventus BTTS rate · last 10
40%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Juventus Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
Juventus comeback rate · last 10
0%
NEC Nijmegen comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Juventus · last 10 at home

0–15 20%
16–30 7%
31–45 0%
46–60 20%
61–75 27%
76–90 27%

NEC Nijmegen · last 3 away

0–15 0%
16–30 12%
31–45 12%
46–60 0%
61–75 38%
76–90 38%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.