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Home World UEFA Europa League Crystal Palace — Lech Poznan

Preview Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan September 17, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L L L W L
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Ocenas
Home Win · CRY
61%
Best 1.40
Draw
21%
Best 5.22
Away Win · LEC
19%
Best 8.00

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Crystal Palace to win — 61% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 57%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Crystal Palace hosts Lech Poznan in a UEFA Europa League clash where home momentum is less clear due to missing recent form data. Lech Poznan arrives with a positive run, showing signs of attacking sharpness and resilience. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards goals, hinting at a lively tempo.

  • Lech's recent form indicates growing confidence on the road.
  • Home side's unknown form adds uncertainty but home advantage remains a factor.
  • Market odds favor a competitive match with potential for goals.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 61% Crystal Palace win
Over/Under 2.5 57% Over 2.5
BTTS 50% Yes
Double Chance 81% 1X
  • 1X2 Crystal Palace win 61%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57%
  • BTTS Yes 50%
  • Double Chance 1X 81%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Crystal Palace
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 7 / 13
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-3
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.24 / 1.67
Lech Poznan
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.89 / 0.80

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.50
Goals Scored
1.71
2.75
Goals Conceded
0.86
0.65
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
3.50
Shots on Target
5.29
2.25
Corners
6.14
42
Possession (%)
45.14
106.15
Efficiency index
102
97.62
Adjusted index
119.95
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
95
DEF · home
100
OFF · away
97
DEF · away
76
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Crystal Palace wins when scoring first
0%
Lech Poznan wins when scoring first
Crystal Palace BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Lech Poznan BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Crystal Palace Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
Lech Poznan Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Crystal Palace comeback rate · last 10
13%
Lech Poznan comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Crystal Palace · last 10 at home

0–15 9%
16–30 9%
31–45 18%
46–60 0%
61–75 9%
76–90 55%

Lech Poznan · last 6 away

0–15 0%
16–30 15%
31–45 23%
46–60 38%
61–75 15%
76–90 8%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.