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Home World UEFA Europa League Levski Sofia — Red Bull Salzburg

Preview Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg September 17, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 16:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
W D W W Away · last 5
Referee M. Al-Emara
Home Win · LEV
35%
Best 3.10
Draw
26%
Best 3.61
Away Win · SAL
39%
Best 2.33

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 64% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Levski Sofia faces a tough test against Red Bull Salzburg, who arrive with strong recent form showing consistent wins. While Levski's current momentum is unclear, Salzburg's attacking threat and experience in European competition give them a clear edge. Expect Salzburg to control the pace with their pressing game and create chances, though Levski’s home setting might inspire resilience.

  • Salzburg’s offensive pressure likely to challenge Levski’s defense
  • Home crowd could boost Levski’s compact block
  • Moderate tempo suggests a balanced but open contest

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 39% Red Bull Salzburg win
Over/Under 2.5 58% Over 2.5
BTTS 64% Yes
Double Chance 65% X2
  • 1X2 Red Bull Salzburg win 39%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
  • BTTS Yes 64%
  • Double Chance X2 65%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Levski Sofia
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 4 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Red Bull Salzburg
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 14 / 3
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.66 / 0.69

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0
Goals Scored
2.50
0
Goals Conceded
0.67
0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
0
Shots on Target
8.17
0
Corners
8.33
0
Possession (%)
66
Efficiency index
99.34
Adjusted index
159.64
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
66
DEF · home
100
OFF · away
85
DEF · away
56
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Levski Sofia wins when scoring first
Red Bull Salzburg wins when scoring first
Levski Sofia BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Red Bull Salzburg BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Levski Sofia Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Red Bull Salzburg Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Levski Sofia comeback rate · last 10
0%
Red Bull Salzburg comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Levski Sofia · last 2 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

Red Bull Salzburg · last 6 away

0–15 15%
16–30 8%
31–45 15%
46–60 8%
61–75 31%
76–90 23%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.