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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Como

Inter vs Como 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 17:00
4:0
Full-time
Como
Como
W D W W W Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Marco Di Bello, Italy
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.84 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.92 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 1.93 ✓
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.24 – 0.95
Δ +0.29
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.84 — +8.7% better than the market.

Serie A Clash at San Siro

Inter holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum, despite some recent inconsistency. Their attacking threat is well-matched against Como's leaky defense, suggesting chances for goals. Como's recent form shows resilience, but their defensive struggles away could be exploited by Inter's pressing and set-piece threat. Expect a lively tempo with a good chance of multiple goals given the attacking versus defensive dynamics and the home side's sharper edge.

  • Inter's home advantage and offensive firepower
  • Como's defensive vulnerabilities on the road
  • Recent form favors Inter's ability to capitalize

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.84 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 54% +0.84u
+84%
ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · COM 4-2-3-1
INT · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · COM 1 Sommer 25 Akanji 15 Acerbi 95 Bastoni 11 Henrique 23 Barella 20 Çalhanoğlu ⚽ 7 Zieliński 32 Dimarco 9 Thuram ⚽ 10 Martínez ⚽ 1 Butez 27 Posch 14 Ramón 34 Carlos 3 Valle 23 Perrone 33 Cunha 42 Addai 10 Paz 17 Rodriguez 7 Morata
Subs used · INT
71' Mkhitaryan ↑ · Zielinski ↓
77' Augusto ↑ · Henrique ↓
77' Esposito ↑ · Thuram ↓
85' Sucic ↑ · Martinez ↓
85' Diouf ↑ · Barella ↓
Subs used · COM
32' Douvikas ↑ · Morata ↓
46' Vojvoda ↑ · Posch ↓
46' Diao ↑ · Addai ↓
82' Caqueret ↑ · Perrone ↓
82' Kuhn ↑ · Rodriguez ↓

Statistics

INT 4 – 0 COM
42%
Possession (%)
58%
1.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.95
11
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
10
9
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
13
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 4 – 0
L. Martinez
Assist · Luis Henrique · 1–0
⚽
11'
32'
⇄
A. Douvikas ↓ · A. Morata ↑
Substitution 1
44'
▮
Máximo Perrone
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
M. Vojvoda ↓ · S. Posch ↑
Substitution 2
46'
⇄
A. Diao ↓ · J. Addai ↑
Substitution 3
45+2'
▮
Diego Carlos
Yellow Card
M. Thuram
Assist · F. Dimarco · 2–0
⚽
59'
H. Mkhitaryan ↓ · P. Zielinski ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
71'
Carlos Augusto ↓ · Luis Henrique ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
F. Esposito ↓ · M. Thuram ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
H. Calhanoglu
3–0
⚽
81'
82'
⇄
M. Caqueret ↓ · M. Perrone ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
N. Kuhn ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 5
P. Sucic ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
A. Diouf ↓ · N. Barella ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
Carlos Augusto
Assist · F. Dimarco · 4–0
⚽
86'
Manuel Akanji
Yellow Card
▮
88'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Inter beat Como 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.24 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Martinez (11'), M. Thuram (59'), H. Calhanoglu (81'), Carlos Augusto (86').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.89 units (Brier 0.130).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.84 — 59% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.92 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 — 45% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.12 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.65 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.10 — 37% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.58 — 67% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.15 — 89% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.20 — 67% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 — 81% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.44 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.90 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.99 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.89u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
INT – COM @ 1.84
+8.7%
Edge
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