🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 56% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
This UEFA Europa League clash lacks detailed form and strength data, making it a tactical guessing game. Sunderland's home advantage could provide a slight edge, but AZ Alkmaar's away resilience and quality remain uncertain. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a leaning towards goals, hinting at a lively tempo and potential for both sides to find the net.
- Home momentum may be limited without recent form data.
- AZ's away strategy could focus on compact defense and counterattacks.
- Market odds imply a balanced contest with goal-scoring opportunities.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 52% | Sunderland win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 55% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 56% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 75% | 1X |
- 1X2 Sunderland win 52%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
- BTTS Yes 56%
- Double Chance 1X 75%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Sunderland
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
5 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.48 / 1.14
AZ Alkmaar
W/D/L
4-1-0
Goals (for / against)
15 / 6
Avg goals / match
4.2
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.89 / 1.03
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Sunderland wins when scoring first
50%
①
AZ Alkmaar wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Sunderland BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Sunderland Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Sunderland comeback rate · last 10
33%
↩
AZ Alkmaar comeback rate · last 10
100%
🔥 Goal timing
Sunderland · last 10 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
14%
31–45
14%
46–60
14%
61–75
43%
76–90
14%
AZ Alkmaar · last 4 away
0–15
17%
16–30
17%
31–45
0%
46–60
33%
61–75
0%
76–90
33%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.