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Home World UEFA Europa League Anderlecht — Lyon

Preview Anderlecht vs Lyon September 16, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Wed 16 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Lyon
Lyon
W L D W D Away · last 5
Referee R. De Burgos
Home Win · AND
31%
Best 3.00
Draw
25%
Best 3.68
Away Win · LYO
44%
Best 2.34

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 61% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Anderlecht arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run that suggests confidence and sharpness. Despite limited data on Lyon, the home side's form edge and the moderate odds for goals hint at an open contest with chances for both teams. Expect Anderlecht's attacking intent to challenge Lyon's defense, while the visitors may rely on counterattacks to exploit any gaps.

  • Anderlecht's winning streak fuels home advantage
  • Potential for an open game with goal-scoring opportunities
  • Lyon's tactical resilience could test Anderlecht's pressing

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 44% Lyon win
Over/Under 2.5 58% Over 2.5
BTTS 61% Yes
Double Chance 69% X2
  • 1X2 Lyon win 44%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
  • BTTS Yes 61%
  • Double Chance X2 69%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Anderlecht
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 5 / 3
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 4/5
Both teams scored 0/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.34 / 1.60
Lyon
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 0.93 / 1.65

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.67
Goals Scored
1.50
0.83
Goals Conceded
0.50
0.92
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
4.50
Shots on Target
3.50
6.83
Corners
5.25
61
Possession (%)
54.25
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
81
OFF · home
67
DEF · home
81
OFF · away
90
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Anderlecht wins when scoring first
Lyon wins when scoring first
100%
Anderlecht BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Lyon BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Anderlecht Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Lyon Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Anderlecht comeback rate · last 10
0%
Lyon comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Anderlecht · last 6 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 11%
31–45 22%
46–60 22%
61–75 33%
76–90 11%

Lyon · last 10 away

0–15 21%
16–30 21%
31–45 14%
46–60 7%
61–75 14%
76–90 21%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.