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Home World UEFA Europa League Olympiakos Piraeus — Jagiellonia

Preview Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia September 16, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Home · last 5 D W D D L
Kick-off
Wed 16 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
W D W W Away · last 5
Referee H. Osmers
Home Win · OLY
62%
Best 1.43
Draw
21%
Best 4.76
Away Win · JAG
18%
Best 8.50

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Olympiakos Piraeus to win — 62% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Olympiakos Piraeus enters this Europa League clash with a clear home advantage, likely to leverage their familiar surroundings and tactical discipline. Despite limited recent form data, Jagiellonia’s positive momentum with multiple wins suggests they can challenge, especially if they exploit set-piece opportunities and counterattack swiftly.

  • Home side’s compact block and pressing edge could limit away chances
  • Jagiellonia’s recent form hints at growing confidence
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic tempo

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 62% Olympiakos Piraeus win
Over/Under 2.5 58% Over 2.5
BTTS 51% Yes
Double Chance 82% 1X
  • 1X2 Olympiakos Piraeus win 62%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
  • BTTS Yes 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 82%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Olympiakos Piraeus
W/D/L 1-3-1
Goals (for / against) 4 / 4
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.57 / 0.60
Jagiellonia
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 10 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-2
xG (for / against) 4.44 / 1.24

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.59
Goals Scored
1.57
0.53
Goals Conceded
1.43
0.74
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
5.63
Shots on Target
3.71
6.88
Corners
3.14
60.34
Possession (%)
48.43
92.87
Efficiency index
122.18
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
81
DEF · home
77
OFF · away
75
DEF · away
79
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Olympiakos Piraeus wins when scoring first
Jagiellonia wins when scoring first
Olympiakos Piraeus BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Jagiellonia BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Olympiakos Piraeus Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Jagiellonia Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Olympiakos Piraeus comeback rate · last 10
0%
Jagiellonia comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Olympiakos Piraeus · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 10%
46–60 20%
61–75 20%
76–90 50%

Jagiellonia · last 5 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 33%
46–60 33%
61–75 17%
76–90 17%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.