🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 75% probability.
Also rated highly: Bayer Leverkusen to win 71%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Bayer Leverkusen enters this UEFA Europa League clash as clear favorites, backed by strong home momentum and a likely tactical edge. Despite limited recent form data, the home side's superior quality and attacking potential suggest they will control the pace, pushing for multiple goals. Celje may struggle to contain Leverkusen's pressing and set-piece threat, but could exploit counterattacks if given space.
- Home advantage with attacking pressure
- Leverkusen's compact defensive block
- Potential for a high-scoring game
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 71% | Bayer Leverkusen win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 75% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 54% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 86% | 1X |
- 1X2 Bayer Leverkusen win 71%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75%
- BTTS Yes 54%
- Double Chance 1X 86%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Bayer Leverkusen
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
10 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
xG (for / against)
1.88 / 1.90
Celje
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
6 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Bayer Leverkusen wins when scoring first
50%
①
Celje wins when scoring first
0%
⚽
Bayer Leverkusen BTTS rate · last 10
80%
⚽
Celje BTTS rate · last 10
90%
↑
Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Celje Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Bayer Leverkusen comeback rate · last 10
33%
↩
Celje comeback rate · last 10
—
🔥 Goal timing
Bayer Leverkusen · last 10 at home
0–15
20%
16–30
16%
31–45
12%
46–60
12%
61–75
16%
76–90
24%
Celje · last 2 away
0–15
25%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
25%
61–75
0%
76–90
50%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.