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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Anderlecht — Kairat Almaty

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Aug · 18:30
3:0
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
L L Away · last 5
Referee Espen Eskas, Norway
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 41% · book 2.80 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.79 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.11 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 4.75 — +1.0% better than the market.

Anderlecht enters this UEFA Europa League clash with strong home momentum, boasting an unbeaten recent run. Their solid form contrasts sharply with Kairat Almaty's struggles, who come off a loss and face a tough away challenge. Expect Anderlecht's home edge and pressing style to unsettle Kairat's defense early on.

  • Home momentum and confidence
  • Pressure on Kairat's fragile defense
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds

The match hints at a controlled tempo with a slight leaning towards goals under 3.5, reflecting cautious play from both sides. Anderlecht's compact block and set-piece threat could be decisive in breaking the deadlock.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 4.75 ✗ Lost
AI 21% Implied 21% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

AND 3 – 0 KAI
59%
Possession (%)
41%
8
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
0
7
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
4

Match recap

Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.91 units (Brier 0.111).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.80 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.79 — 54% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.11 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 — 52% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.91 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.50 — 59% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 67% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.12 — 80% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.18 — 59% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Draw 4.75 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.80 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.70 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 — 77% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.91u −35% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
AND – KAI @ 4.75
+1.0%
Edge
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