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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Kauno Žalgiris — Beşiktaş

Predictions by Market: Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Home · last 5 L W
Kick-off
Thu 27 Aug · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
W W W L W Away · last 5
Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SPY
18%
Best 9.30
Draw
20%
Best 5.10
Away Win · BES
62%
Best 1.37
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.01
Fair odds
4.96
book 5.01 · +1.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 20% · EV +1.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (62%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 17.5%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.2%
Odds 5.01
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 11.20
Show model details
Implied probability 8.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 17.5%
Odds 6.95
Show model details
Implied probability 14.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 37.7%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
SPY – BES @ 5.01
+1.1%
Edge
Forecast →