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Home › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Juventus

Predictions by Market: Napoli vs Juventus

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
Referee Federico La Penna, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAP
44%
Best 2.53
Draw
29%
Best 2.90
Away Win · JUV
28%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.63
Fair odds
2.40
book 2.63 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (58%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27.7%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
NAP – JUV @ 2.63
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →