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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Ararat-Armenia — Universitatea Craiova

Predictions by Market: Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Home · last 5 D W L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Aug · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
D W D L Away · last 5
Referee Donatas Rumsas, Lithuania

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARA
30%
Best 4.42
Draw
27%
Best 3.50
Away Win · UNI
43%
Best 1.96
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.72
Fair odds
3.32
book 3.72 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +12.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (43%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 30.2%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
ARA – UNI @ 3.72
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →