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Home › Italy › Serie A › Cagliari — AS Roma

Predictions by Market: Cagliari vs AS Roma

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cagliari
Cagliari
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Unipol Domus · Cagliari Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CAG
13%
Best 5.78
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · ROM
63%
Best 1.65
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.94
book 3.25 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (66%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 12.7%
Odds 5.80
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 34%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19.7%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 12.7%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CAG – ROM @ 3.25
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →