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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Benfica — Aarhus

Benfica vs Aarhus 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Thu 20 Aug · 19:00
3:1
Full-time
Aarhus
Aarhus
L L Away · last 5
Referee Marco Guida, Italy
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.84 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 47% · book 2.05 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.77 ✗
Total goals
4
3 · 1
Possession
71% – 29%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

Benfica enters this Europa League clash with solid home momentum, showing resilience in recent matches. Despite limited data on Aarhus, the home side’s attacking potential and familiarity with the pitch likely give them a pressing edge. The market hints at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, though Benfica’s compact block and set-piece threat could be decisive.

  • Home momentum and tactical cohesion
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured attacks
  • Benfica’s set-piece and pressing advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Statistics

BEN 3 – 1 AAR
71%
Possession (%)
29%
13
Shots on Target
1
8
Shots off Target
1
11
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
1

Match recap

Benfica beat Aarhus 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.70 units (Brier 0.094).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.84 — 53% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.05 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.77 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 48% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Away Win 21.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 7.30 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 12.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 10.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 — 88% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.11 — 76% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.02 — 76% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.06 — 88% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 1.5 7.50 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.29 — 72% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.30 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −5.70u −38% ROI