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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Fiorentina

Match Sassuolo vs Fiorentina December 6, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Luca Pairetto, Italy
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.02
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.81
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.16
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
0.93 – 1.19
Δ −0.26
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Sassuolo Looks to Leverage Home Strength

Sassuolo holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, showing signs of momentum with recent wins. Their offensive edge against Fiorentina's defense suggests potential to break through, while Fiorentina's recent form and defensive frailties may limit their threat. Expect a controlled tempo with a focus on compact defending and set-piece opportunities.

  • Home side's stronger defensive record
  • Fiorentina's struggles in recent matches
  • Moderate pace hinting at tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · FIO 3-5-2
Subs used · SAS
54' Cheddira ↑ · Pinamonti
54' Fadera ↑ · Lauriente
78' Coulibaly ↑ · Walukiewicz
79' Pierini ↑ · Volpato
Subs used · FIO
46' Ndour ↑ · Sohm
62' Fortini ↑ · Parisi
62' Piccoli ↑ · Fagioli
63' Viti ↑ · Ranieri
84' Kouame ↑ · Dodo

📊 Statistics

SAS 31 FIO
40%
Possession (%)
60%
0.93
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.19
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
1
4
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
4
15
Fouls
15
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

18 · 3 – 1
Arijanet Murić
Yellow Card
7'
9'
R. Mandragora (P)
Penalty · 0–1
C. Volpato
Assist · T. Muharemovic · 1–1
14'
Kristian Thorstvedt
Yellow Card
16'
T. Muharemovic
Assist · A. Lauriente · 2–1
45'
Half-time · 2 – 1
46'
C. Ndour ↓ · S. Sohm ↑
Substitution 1
W. Cheddira ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑
Substitution 1
54'
A. Fadera ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑
Substitution 2
54'
62'
N. Fortini ↓ · F. Parisi ↑
Substitution 2
62'
R. Piccoli ↓ · N. Fagioli ↑
Substitution 3
63'
M. Viti ↓ · L. Ranieri ↑
Substitution 4
I. Kone
Assist · C. Volpato · 3–1
65'
W. Coulibaly ↓ · S. Walukiewicz ↑
Substitution 3
78'
N. Pierini ↓ · C. Volpato ↑
Substitution 4
79'
84'
C. Kouame ↓ · Dodo ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Cher Ndour
Yellow Card
90+5'
Mattia Viti
Yellow Card
90+6'
Rolando Mandragora
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.02 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.81 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.16 44% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.84 49% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.02 43% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Away Win 2.71 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.92 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.52 71% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Home Win 2.87 43% Cashed +1.87 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.48 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.30 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 69% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.35 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 23% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.33u −2% ROI