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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Lillestrom

Predictions by Market: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Home · last 5 L W D L
Kick-off
Thu 20 Aug · 17:00
0:0
Full-time
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
D W L Away · last 5
Referee Willy Delajod, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EGN
31%
Best 3.34
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · LIL
44%
Best 2.16
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.56
Fair odds
3.24
book 3.56 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (44%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 30.9%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.74
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.9%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 56%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
EGN – LIL @ 3.56
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →