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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Jagiellonia — Saburtalo

Jagiellonia vs Saburtalo 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Thu 20 Aug · 16:00
4:0
Full-time
Saburtalo
Saburtalo
D W L L Away · last 5
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.75 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.17 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.75 ✓
Total goals
4
4 · 0
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Away 0 at 6.35 — +10.1% better than the market.

Jagiellonia holds a slight home momentum edge with recent draws and wins, while Saburtalo shows signs of resilience on the road. The match hints at a balanced tactical battle, with both sides likely to test each other's defensive lines cautiously. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a leaning towards a few goals, but the teams’ recent form points to a compact, disciplined approach.

  • Home side's stable form offers a pressing edge.
  • Away team’s defensive discipline could limit clear chances.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic attack.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0
AH Away 0 @ 6.35 ✗ Lost
AI 17% Implied 16% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

JAG 4 – 0 SAB
49%
Possession (%)
51%
8
Shots on Target
7
7
Shots off Target
4
4
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
0
20
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
5

Match recap

Jagiellonia beat Saburtalo 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.01 units (Brier 0.136).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.75 — 55% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.17 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.75 — 54% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.05 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.70 — 35% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Away Win 9.25 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.30 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.35 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.07 — 83% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Home Win 1.36 — 63% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.12 — 63% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Draw 5.28 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 — 78% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.01u −29% ROI
Value pick of the night · AH Away 0
JAG – SAB @ 6.35
+10.1%
Edge
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