🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 65% probability.
Also rated highly: Benfica to win 58%, both teams to score 58%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Heart Of Midlothian face a tough challenge hosting Benfica in the Europa League opener. Despite recent struggles, Hearts may leverage home momentum to disrupt Benfica's rhythm. Benfica's solid form and attacking prowess suggest they will press high and look to control the game tempo. Expect a lively encounter with chances at both ends, though Benfica's experience in Europe could prove decisive.
- Home side's pressing edge could unsettle visitors early
- Benfica's compact block and quick transitions offer goal threats
- Match likely to feature open play given attacking intent
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 58% | Benfica win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 65% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 58% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 78% | X2 |
- 1X2 Benfica win 58%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65%
- BTTS Yes 58%
- Double Chance X2 78%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Heart Of Midlothian
W/D/L
1-0-4
Goals (for / against)
6 / 14
Avg goals / match
4.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
xG (for / against)
1.74 / 1.43
Benfica
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
17 / 6
Avg goals / match
4.6
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
3.67 / 1.39
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Heart Of Midlothian wins when scoring first
—
①
Benfica wins when scoring first
57%
⚽
Heart Of Midlothian BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Benfica BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Heart Of Midlothian Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Benfica Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↩
Heart Of Midlothian comeback rate · last 10
33%
↩
Benfica comeback rate · last 10
—
🔥 Goal timing
Benfica · last 10 away
0–15
19%
16–30
38%
31–45
6%
46–60
13%
61–75
13%
76–90
13%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.