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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Pafos — Red Bull Salzburg

Predictions by Market: Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Pafos
Pafos
Home · last 5 L W L D
Kick-off
Thu 13 Aug · 17:00
3:3
Full-time
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
W D W W W Away · last 5
Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAP
36%
Best 3.20
Draw
27%
Best 3.50
Away Win · SAL
38%
Best 2.32
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.89
Fair odds
2.82
book 2.89 · +2.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 36% · EV +2.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (38%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.54
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 10.20
Show model details
Implied probability 9.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 62%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
PAP – SAL @ 2.89
+2.6%
Edge
Forecast →