Match Lecce vs Torino November 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Torino enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Lecce's defensive struggles and limited home momentum contrast with Torino's sharper attack and steadier away performances. Expect a tactical battle where Torino's offensive pressure could exploit Lecce's vulnerabilities, while the home side may rely on set-piece moments to threaten.

Torino's superior overall strength and form advantage
Lecce's defensive frailties at home
Moderate pace hints at a controlled, tactical game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · TOR 3-5-2

LEC · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · TOR

9 Štulić

Subs used · LEC

65'

Morente ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

65'

Sottil ↑ ·

Banda ↓

82'

Kaba ↑ ·

Berisha ↓

90+2'

Ndaba ↑ ·

Stulic ↓

Subs used · TOR

37'

Zapata ↑ ·

Gineitis ↓

60'

Ngonge ↑ ·

Tameze ↓

70'

Masina ↑ ·

Nkounkou ↓

70'

Aboukhlal ↑ ·

Vlasic ↓

71'

Lazaro ↑ ·

Pedersen ↓

📊 Statistics

LEC 2 – 1 TOR

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.00

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 1

L. Coulibaly

Assist · M. Berisha · 1–0

⚽

20'

L. Banda

Assist · M. Berisha · 2–0

⚽

22'

37'

⇄

D. Zapata ↓ · G. Gineitis ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 2 – 0

57'

⚽

C. Adams

Assist · N. Vlasic · 2–1

60'

⇄

C. Ngonge ↓ · A. Tameze ↑

Substitution 2

Tete Morente ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

R. Sottil ↓ · L. Banda ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

70'

⇄

A. Masina ↓ · N. Nkounkou ↑

Substitution 3

70'

⇄

Z. Aboukhlal ↓ · N. Vlasic ↑

Substitution 4

71'

⇄

V. Lazaro ↓ · M. Pedersen ↑

Substitution 5

78'

▮

Cesare Casadei

Yellow Card

Ylber Ramadani

Yellow Card

▮

80'

Lassana Coulibaly

Yellow Card

▮

81'

M. Kaba ↓ · M. Berisha ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

83'

▮

Saúl Coco

Yellow Card

C. Ndaba ↓ · N. Stulic ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+2'

90+3'

▮

Cyril Ngonge

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Lecce beat Torino 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.85 to 1.00. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Coulibaly (20'), L. Banda (22'), C. Adams (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.41 units (Brier 0.267).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.70	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.63	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.75	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.75	—	32%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.19	—	39%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.84	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.12	—	24%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.50	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.58	—	59%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Draw	3.09	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	54%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Home Win	3.11	—	24%	Cashed	+2.11	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.18	—	85%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.13	—	86%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.50	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.41u	−8% ROI