P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Italy › Serie A › Lecce — Torino

Lecce vs Torino 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 11:30
2:1
Full-time
Torino
Torino
D L W L D Away · last 5
Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.70 ✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 41% · book 2.63 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.75 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.00 – 1.85
Δ −0.85
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.63 — +9.1% better than the market.

Torino enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Lecce's defensive struggles and limited home momentum contrast with Torino's sharper attack and steadier away performances. Expect a tactical battle where Torino's offensive pressure could exploit Lecce's vulnerabilities, while the home side may rely on set-piece moments to threaten.

  • Torino's superior overall strength and form advantage
  • Lecce's defensive frailties at home
  • Moderate pace hints at a controlled, tactical game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 2.63 ✗ Lost
AI 41% Implied 38% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · TOR 3-5-2
LEC · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · TOR 30 Falcone 17 Veiga 4 Gaspar 44 Gabriel 25 Gallo 20 Ramadani 29 Coulibaly ⚽ 50 Pierotti 10 Berisha 19 Banda ⚽ 9 Štulić 81 Israel 61 Tameze 13 Maripán 23 Coco 16 Pedersen 22 Casadei 32 Asllani 66 Gineitis 25 Nkounkou 19 Adams ⚽ 10 Vlašić
Subs used · LEC
65' Morente ↑ · Pierotti ↓
65' Sottil ↑ · Banda ↓
82' Kaba ↑ · Berisha ↓
90+2' Ndaba ↑ · Stulic ↓
Subs used · TOR
37' Zapata ↑ · Gineitis ↓
60' Ngonge ↑ · Tameze ↓
70' Masina ↑ · Nkounkou ↓
70' Aboukhlal ↑ · Vlasic ↓
71' Lazaro ↑ · Pedersen ↓

Statistics

LEC 2 – 1 TOR
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.00
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.85
10
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
23
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
L. Coulibaly
Assist · M. Berisha · 1–0
⚽
20'
L. Banda
Assist · M. Berisha · 2–0
⚽
22'
37'
⇄
D. Zapata ↓ · G. Gineitis ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 0
57'
⚽
C. Adams
Assist · N. Vlasic · 2–1
60'
⇄
C. Ngonge ↓ · A. Tameze ↑
Substitution 2
Tete Morente ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
R. Sottil ↓ · L. Banda ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
70'
⇄
A. Masina ↓ · N. Nkounkou ↑
Substitution 3
70'
⇄
Z. Aboukhlal ↓ · N. Vlasic ↑
Substitution 4
71'
⇄
V. Lazaro ↓ · M. Pedersen ↑
Substitution 5
78'
▮
Cesare Casadei
Yellow Card
Ylber Ramadani
Yellow Card
▮
80'
Lassana Coulibaly
Yellow Card
▮
81'
M. Kaba ↓ · M. Berisha ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
83'
▮
Saúl Coco
Yellow Card
C. Ndaba ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+2'
90+3'
▮
Cyril Ngonge
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Lecce beat Torino 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.85 to 1.00. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Coulibaly (20'), L. Banda (22'), C. Adams (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.41 units (Brier 0.267).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.70 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.63 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.75 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.75 — 32% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.19 — 39% Cashed +1.19 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.84 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.12 — 24% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.42 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.50 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.58 — 59% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Draw 3.09 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.53 — 54% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Home Win 3.11 — 24% Cashed +2.11 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.50 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.18 — 85% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.13 — 86% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.50 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.41u −8% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LEC – TOR @ 2.63
+9.1%
Edge
Forecast →