Match Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split July 30, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.92 — +14.7% better than the market.

Pafos face HNK Hajduk Split in a Europa League opener where defensive solidity seems key. Pafos' recent form shows a dip, while Hajduk Split arrives with momentum from wins and a solid defensive record. The odds suggest a tight, low-scoring affair with under 2.5 goals favored, hinting at cautious tactics and compact defensive blocks.

Hajduk's away resilience may challenge Pafos' attack.
Recent form favors Hajduk's momentum.
Market signals point to a controlled pace and limited goal chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 52% +0.92u

+92%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAP 4-3-3 · HAJ 4-2-3-1

PAP · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · HAJ

26 Šunjić 6 Rodrigues 20 Biel

18 Lelê

11 Jajá 33 Silić

22 Acapandié

15 Marešić

5 Hoorenbeeck

32 Hrgović

21 Pukštas

4 Pajaziti

26 Huram

9 Almeida 17 Melnjak

11 Šego

📊 Statistics

PAP 4 – 0 HAJ

Yellow Cards

Match recap

Pafos beat HNK Hajduk Split 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.10 units (Brier 0.124).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	60%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS No	1.97	—	58%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.00	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.85	—	49%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.90	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.90	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.25	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	81%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	74%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	3.84	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.45	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	82%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	65%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.31	—	49%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.10u	−30% ROI