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Home World UEFA Europa League HNK Hajduk Split — Pafos

Preview HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos July 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
Home · last 5 W L
Kick-off
Thu 23 Jul · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Pafos
Pafos
W D L L W Away · last 5
Home Win · HAJ
39%
Best 2.18
Draw
28%
Best 3.30
Away Win · PAP
33%
Best 3.30

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward HNK Hajduk Split to win — 39% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

HNK Hajduk Split enters this UEFA Europa League clash with some home momentum, having won their last match. Though detailed form and strength data are missing, their home advantage and recent positive result suggest they may press early and look to control the tempo.

  • Home side likely to leverage set-piece threats
  • Potential for a compact defensive block from Pafos
  • Moderate pace expected given odds favoring under 2.5 goals

Pafos, with limited form info, might adopt a cautious approach, aiming to frustrate Hajduk and exploit counterattacks. The balanced odds reflect an open contest where tactical discipline could be key.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 39% HNK Hajduk Split win
  • 1X2 HNK Hajduk Split win 39%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
HNK Hajduk Split
W/D/L 1-0-1
Goals (for / against) 3 / 2
Avg goals / match 2.5
Scored in 2/2
Clean sheets 1/2
Both teams scored 1/2
Over 2.5 1/2
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-1
Pafos
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.93 / 1.78

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.50
Goals Scored
0
1
Goals Conceded
0
0
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0
Possession (%)
0
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
58
OFF · home
100
DEF · home
50
OFF · away
42
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

HNK Hajduk Split wins when scoring first
Pafos wins when scoring first
100%
HNK Hajduk Split BTTS rate · last 2
50%
Pafos BTTS rate · last 10
50%
HNK Hajduk Split Over 2.5 · last 2
50%
Pafos Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
HNK Hajduk Split comeback rate · last 2
Pafos comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Pafos · last 4 away

0–15 25%
16–30 0%
31–45 25%
46–60 25%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.