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Home › World › World Cup › Spain — Argentina

Predictions by Market: Spain vs Argentina

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Spain
Spain
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Jul · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Argentina
Argentina
W W W W L Away · last 5
Referee Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ESP
43%
Best 2.34
Draw
30%
Best 3.04
Away Win · ARG
27%
Best 3.86
Value pick
Over 1.5
@ 1.40
Fair odds
1.28
book 1.40 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 78% · EV +9.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.6%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Value pick
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.8%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27.1%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.4%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 1.5
ESP – ARG @ 1.40
+9.5%
Edge
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