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Home › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — Hellas Verona

Predictions by Market: Genoa vs Hellas Verona

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
D D L D L Away · last 5
Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Michael Fabbri, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GEN
55%
Best 2.09
Draw
29%
Best 2.93
Away Win · VER
17%
Best 4.33
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 6.40
Fair odds
5.96
book 6.40 · +7.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +7.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (83%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 54.6%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 16.9%
Odds 4.37
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 16.8%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 83.2%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 16.9%
Odds 3.02
Show model details
Implied probability 33.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 45.4%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.1%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GEN – VER @ 6.40
+7.3%
Edge
Forecast →