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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › FC Midtjylland — Beşiktaş

Predictions by Market: FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Thu 30 Jul · 17:00
0:2
Full-time
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
W W W L W Away · last 5
Referee John Brooks, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MID
49%
Best 1.99
Draw
24%
Best 3.78
Away Win · BES
27%
Best 3.64
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.70
book 4.20 · +13.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +13.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (49%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.9%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 17.3%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.3%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.3%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
MID – BES @ 4.20
+13.5%
Edge
Forecast →