🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Qarabag to win — 76% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 71%, Over 2.5 goals 61%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Qarabag arrives with clear momentum after recent wins, while Vestri struggles to find form. The away side's tactical discipline and experience in European competition likely give them an edge, especially against a home team lacking recent confidence. Expect a controlled pace with Qarabag managing the game and limiting risks.
- Qarabag's away composure and structured defense
- Vestri's current poor form and pressure at home
- Likely cautious tempo favoring fewer goals
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 76% | Qarabag win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 61% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 71% | No |
| Double Chance | 89% | X2 |
- 1X2 Qarabag win 76%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61%
- BTTS No 71%
- Double Chance X2 89%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Vestri
W/D/L
0-0-1
Goals (for / against)
0 / 3
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
0/1
Clean sheets
0/1
Both teams scored
0/1
Over 2.5
1/1
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Qarabag
W/D/L
2-0-3
Goals (for / against)
9 / 17
Avg goals / match
5.2
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.94 / 3.79
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Vestri wins when scoring first
—
①
Qarabag wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Vestri BTTS rate · last 1
0%
⚽
Qarabag BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Vestri Over 2.5 · last 1
100%
↑
Qarabag Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Vestri comeback rate · last 1
0%
↩
Qarabag comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Qarabag · last 4 away
0–15
10%
16–30
20%
31–45
0%
46–60
20%
61–75
10%
76–90
40%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.