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Home World UEFA Europa League Aluminij — Sheriff Tiraspol

Preview Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol July 16, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Aluminij
Aluminij
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Thu 16 Jul · 18:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
D Away · last 5
Referee A. Kanagasingam
Home Win · ALU
29%
Best 3.90
Draw
27%
Best 3.32
Away Win · SHE
45%
Best 1.99

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 67% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams not to score 62%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

This UEFA Europa League clash looks set for a cautious tempo, with both sides showing recent draws and a market leaning towards fewer goals. Aluminij’s home momentum is balanced by Sheriff Tiraspol’s disciplined defensive shape, suggesting a compact battle. Expect a tactical match where set-piece opportunities and defensive organization could be decisive.

  • Home side’s slight edge in familiarity and conditions
  • Both teams’ recent form indicates solidity over flair
  • Market signals favor a low-scoring, tight contest

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 44% Sheriff Tiraspol win
Over/Under 2.5 67% Under 2.5
BTTS 62% No
Double Chance 71% X2
  • 1X2 Sheriff Tiraspol win 44%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67%
  • BTTS No 62%
  • Double Chance X2 71%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Aluminij
W/D/L 0-1-0
Goals (for / against) 0 / 0
Avg goals / match 0.0
Scored in 0/1
Clean sheets 1/1
Both teams scored 0/1
Over 2.5 0/1
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-0
Sheriff Tiraspol
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
0
DEF · home
100
0
OFF · away
100
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Aluminij wins when scoring first
Sheriff Tiraspol wins when scoring first
33%
Aluminij BTTS rate · last 1
0%
Sheriff Tiraspol BTTS rate · last 5
60%
Aluminij Over 2.5 · last 1
0%
Sheriff Tiraspol Over 2.5 · last 5
80%
Aluminij comeback rate · last 1
Sheriff Tiraspol comeback rate · last 5

🔥 Goal timing

Sheriff Tiraspol · last 2 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 50%
61–75 50%
76–90 0%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.