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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Aluminij — Sheriff Tiraspol

Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Aluminij
Aluminij
Home · last 5 D L
Kick-off
Thu 16 Jul · 18:00
0:1
Full-time
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
D W L L Away · last 5
Referee A. Kanagasingam
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.87 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.67 ✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 56% · book 1.83 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.67 — +11.6% better than the market.

This UEFA Europa League clash looks set for a cautious tempo, with both sides showing recent draws and a market leaning towards fewer goals. Aluminij’s home momentum is balanced by Sheriff Tiraspol’s disciplined defensive shape, suggesting a compact battle. Expect a tactical match where set-piece opportunities and defensive organization could be decisive.

  • Home side’s slight edge in familiarity and conditions
  • Both teams’ recent form indicates solidity over flair
  • Market signals favor a low-scoring, tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ALU 0 – 1 SHE
3
Yellow Cards
1

Match recap

Sheriff Tiraspol won 1–0 away at Aluminij. At half-time it was 0–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.53 units (Brier 0.152).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.87 — 62% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.67 — 67% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.83 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.98 — 44% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.20 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.00 — 41% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.90 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.22 — 87% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.25 — 71% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.85 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.42 — 44% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Draw 3.32 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 78% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.36 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.00 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.53u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ALU – SHE @ 1.67
+11.6%
Edge
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