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Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Lazio

Predictions by Market: AC Milan vs Lazio

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Giuseppe Collu, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
65%
Best 1.66
Draw
23%
Best 3.75
Away Win · LAZ
12%
Best 5.55
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.66
Fair odds
1.54
book 1.66 · +7.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +7.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.09
Show model details
Implied probability 24.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 12.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.5%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 12.2%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
MIL – LAZ @ 1.66
+7.8%
Edge
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