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Home › Italy › Serie A › Sassuolo — Pisa

Sassuolo vs Pisa 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Mon 24 Nov · 19:45
2:2
Full-time
Pisa
Pisa
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Davide Di Marco, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 55% · book 2.14 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.72 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.85 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.63 – 1.47
Δ +0.16
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.30 — +6.3% better than the market.

Sassuolo enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing a sharper offensive edge against Pisa's defense. Their recent form suggests a balanced contest, but Sassuolo's home comfort and pressing style could unsettle the visitors. Pisa's compact block and resilience offer some resistance, yet the home side's ability to control tempo and create chances stands out.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive solidity
  • Balanced recent form with slight home advantage
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 ✓ Cashed
AI 82% Implied 77% +0.30u
+30%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · PIS 4-4-2
SAS · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · PIS 49 Murić 6 Walukiewicz 21 Idzes 80 Muharemović 5 Candé 42 Thorstvedt ⚽ 18 Matić ⚽ 90 Koné 10 Berardi 99 Pinamonti 20 Fadera 1 Šemper 33 Calabresi 4 Caracciolo 5 Canestrelli 3 Angori 15 Touré 36 Piccinini 20 Aebischer 7 Léris 10 Tramoni 18 Nzola ⚽
Subs used · SAS
46' Coulibaly ↑ · Walukiewicz ↓
60' Lauriente ↑ · Fadera ↓
72' Doig ↑ · Cande ↓
72' Lipani ↑ · Kone ↓
87' Volpato ↑ · Matic ↓
Subs used · PIS
46' Albiol ↑ · Calabresi ↓
57' Meister ↑ · Nzola ↓
57' Moreo ↑ · Tramoni ↓
72' Hojholt ↑ · Angori ↓
82' Vural ↑ · Aebischer ↓

Statistics

SAS 2 – 2 PIS
63%
Possession (%)
37%
1.63
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.47
21
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
3
10
Shots off Target
5
13
Shots Inside Box
10
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
10
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 2 – 2
4'
⚽
M. Nzola (P)
Penalty · 0–1
N. Matic
1–1
⚽
6'
24'
▮
Arturo Calabresi
Yellow Card
Sebastian Walukiewicz
Yellow Card
▮
36'
Half-time · 1 – 1
W. Coulibaly ↓ · S. Walukiewicz ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
R. Albiol ↓ · A. Calabresi ↑
Substitution 1
57'
⇄
H. Meister ↓ · M. Nzola ↑
Substitution 2
57'
⇄
S. Moreo ↓ · M. Tramoni ↑
Substitution 3
A. Lauriente ↓ · A. Fadera ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
J. Doig ↓ · F. Cande ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
L. Lipani ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
72'
⇄
M. Hojholt ↓ · S. Angori ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⚽
H. Meister
Assist · S. Moreo · 1–2
82'
⇄
I. Vural ↓ · M. Aebischer ↑
Substitution 5
C. Volpato ↓ · N. Matic ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
K. Thorstvedt
Assist · C. Volpato · 2–2
⚽
90'
Kristian Thorstvedt
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Sassuolo and Pisa drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Nzola (4'), N. Matic (6'), H. Meister (81'), K. Thorstvedt (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.74 units (Brier 0.261).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.14 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.72 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.33 — 39% Cashed +1.33 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.02 — 45% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.83 — 45% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.05 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 — 82% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 — 66% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.48 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.42 — 27% Cashed +2.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.33 — 20% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.89 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.07 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.74u +4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
SAS – PIS @ 1.30
+6.3%
Edge
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