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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lazio — Lecce

Predictions by Market: Lazio vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LAZ
64%
Best 1.77
Draw
24%
Best 3.33
Away Win · LEC
12%
Best 5.45
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 9.50
Fair odds
8.37
book 9.50 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 12% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (88%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 6.34
Show model details
Implied probability 15.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 36.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 18.3%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.73
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
LAZ – LEC @ 9.50
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →