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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Lazio

Inter vs Lazio 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 19:45
2:0
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Gianluca Manganiello, Italy
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.76 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 37% · book 2.80 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 49% · book 1.99 ✗
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.91 – 0.68
Δ +1.23
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.44 — +4.2% better than the market.

Inter arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over Lazio. Their offensive firepower faces a Lazio defense that has struggled to contain top-tier attacks, suggesting Inter’s pressing and creativity could dominate. Lazio’s more cautious form and lower scoring threat hint at a controlled pace, favoring Inter’s compact block and set-piece threat.

  • Inter’s home advantage and attacking edge
  • Lazio’s defensive vulnerabilities against high pressure
  • Recent form favors Inter’s confidence and rhythm

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed
AI 72% Implied 69% +0.44u
+44%
ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · LAZ 4-3-3
INT · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · LAZ 1 Sommer 25 Akanji 15 Acerbi 95 Bastoni 2 Dumfries 23 Barella 20 Çalhanoğlu 8 Sučić 32 Dimarco 14 Bonny ⚽ 10 Martínez ⚽ 94 Provedel 29 Lazzari 34 Fuentes 13 Romagnoli 77 Marušić 8 Guendouzi 32 Cataldi 26 Bašić 18 Isaksen 19 Dia 10 Zaccagni
Subs used · INT
56' Zielinski ↑ · Sucic ↓
56' Augusto ↑ · Dumfries ↓
71' Thuram ↑ · Martinez ↓
81' Frattesi ↑ · Calhanoglu ↓
81' Esposito ↑ · Bonny ↓
Subs used · LAZ
65' Vecino ↑ · Cataldi ↓
65' Pedro ↑ · Dia ↓
65' Noslin ↑ · Isaksen ↓
68' Pellegrini ↑ · Lazzari ↓
75' Provstgaard ↑ · Romagnoli ↓

Statistics

INT 2 – 0 LAZ
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.68
8
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
3
3
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
0
26
Fouls
11
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 2 – 0
L. Martinez
Assist · A. Bastoni · 1–0
⚽
3'
Manuel Akanji
Yellow Card
▮
33'
Petar Sučić
Yellow Card
▮
36'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Denzel Dumfries
Yellow Card
▮
52'
P. Zielinski ↓ · P. Sucic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
56'
Carlos Augusto ↓ · D. Dumfries ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
56'
A. Bonny
Assist · F. Dimarco · 2–0
⚽
62'
65'
⇄
M. Vecino ↓ · D. Cataldi ↑
Substitution 1
65'
⇄
Pedro ↓ · B. Dia ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⇄
T. Noslin ↓ · G. Isaksen ↑
Substitution 3
68'
⇄
L. Pellegrini ↓ · M. Lazzari ↑
Substitution 4
M. Thuram ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
72'
▮
Mattia Zaccagni
Yellow Card
75'
⇄
O. Provstgaard ↓ · A. Romagnoli ↑
Substitution 5
D. Frattesi ↓ · H. Calhanoglu ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
F. Esposito ↓ · A. Bonny ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Inter beat Lazio 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.91 to 0.68. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Martinez (3'), A. Bonny (62').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.43 units (Brier 0.107).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.76 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.80 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.99 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 — 51% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.24 — 41% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Home Win 1.44 — 72% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.12 — 91% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.47 — 63% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.20 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.15 — 72% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Draw 5.44 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.24 — 81% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.20 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.50 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.43u −32% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
INT – LAZ @ 1.44
+4.2%
Edge
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