Match AS Roma vs Udinese November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.88 — +8.2% better than the market.

AS Roma holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting control over the match tempo. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Udinese's less robust backline, hinting at a pressing edge for the hosts. Roma's recent form shows some inconsistency, but Udinese's steadier results away suggest a compact block that could limit clear chances.

Roma's defensive strength vs Udinese's attack
Home momentum with mild advantage
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.88 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 53% +0.88u

+88%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · UDI 3-5-2

ROM · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · UDI

9 Dovbyk

Subs used · ROM

43'

Baldanzi ↑ ·

Dovbyk ↓

74'

El Aynaoui ↑ ·

Pellegrini ↓

74'

El Shaarawy ↑ ·

Soule ↓

90'

Ziolkowski ↑ ·

Franca ↓

90'

Ghilardi ↑ ·

Celik ↓

Subs used · UDI

54'

Palma ↑ ·

Kabasele ↓

72'

Piotrowski ↑ ·

Karlstrom ↓

72'

Davis ↑ ·

Buksa ↓

82'

Zemura ↑ ·

Kamara ↓

82'

Bayo ↑ ·

Zaniolo ↓

📊 Statistics

ROM 2 – 0 UDI

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.56

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 2 – 0

Bryan Cristante

Yellow Card

▮

28'

L. Pellegrini (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

42'

T. Baldanzi ↓ · A. Dovbyk ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

43'

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Yellow Card

▮

45+4'

Half-time · 1 – 0

54'

⇄

M. Palma ↓ · C. Kabasele ↑

Substitution 1

Z. Celik

Assist · G. Mancini · 2–0

⚽

61'

62'

▮

Jesper Karlström

Yellow Card

72'

⇄

J. Piotrowski ↓ · J. Karlstrom ↑

Substitution 2

72'

⇄

K. Davis ↓ · A. Buksa ↑

Substitution 3

N. El Aynaoui ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

S. El Shaarawy ↓ · M. Soule ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

82'

⇄

J. Zemura ↓ · H. Kamara ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

V. Bayo ↓ · N. Zaniolo ↑

Substitution 5

J. Ziolkowski ↓ · Wesley Franca ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

D. Ghilardi ↓ · Z. Celik ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

AS Roma beat Udinese 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Pellegrini (42'), Z. Celik (61').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.62 units (Brier 0.096).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.88	—	58%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Home Win	1.62	—	62%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	1.77	—	56%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.48	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.14	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.07	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.45	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	84%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.21	—	62%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	78%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Away Win	6.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	4.20	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	—	68%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.75	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.83	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.62u	−33% ROI